We said: Malta 3-1 Liechtenstein
With momentum from a pair of consecutive competitive victories, Malta should have too much quality for Liechtenstein on Thursday, and we back them to make it three on the bounce with home advantage.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.
